It's officially hurricane season and the tropical gods have blessed Florida with an area of low pressure bringing much needed rain.
This low pressure has been declared Invest 93L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). It has been giving a 30% chance of developing, but with it quickly running out of warm water, it is unlikely to develop into a tropical depression before moving over the Florida peninsula by noon. A fun little fact about this invest is it brought severe weather to the Great Lakes Sunday and to the northeast Monday. Here is a water vapor loop of it over the past few days: http://i55.tinypic.com/veb4ao.gif
Taking a closer look across west central GA/east central AL, we'll note the ridge is now centered just off to our west. This means we'll see a northerly wind for much of the day allowing for some VERY warm temperatures this afternoon. I'm forecasting an official high of 99, though I'm sure some places will top the century mark. If we manage to officially hit 100 in Columbus, then it would be the earliest we've ever seen triple digit heat, beating the old mark of June 4 by 3 days.
Tomorrow, the ridge will weaken slightly, meaning we won't be near 100. Instead, I'm forecasting highs around 96. The dry weather will linger for today and Thursday. By Friday, a little bit of mid-level moisture moves in from the northeast from what appears to be a dying MCS event across the southern Appalachian Mountains. We'll monitor this scenario for our Georgia counties as some places could see a strong storm, while most of our Alabama counties stay dry until the weekend. If you have any plans this weekend, keep in mind a pop-up shower or thunderstorm may blossom at any time during the afternoon, but again most of us will stay dry.
Looking at the long range models, it appears our incredibly strong ridge of high pressure breaks down just enough to allow for better chances of scattered shower and t-storms. We'll see if it actually holds over the next few model runs as it is over 10 days from happening.
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