A refreshing start to Mother's Day

Happy Mother's Day!

A cold front moved through last night with little fan-fare. We managed to pick up a trace, officially, of rain last night as the front swept across the southeast. The biggest thing you'll notice is lower humidity as dew points have dipped into the low 50s and will continue to fall throughout the afternoon. Glorious sunshine will allow us to top out in the low to mid 70s. Cooler weather stays here the next couple of days with some locations waking up to the mid to upper 40s come Monday and Tuesday. However, the cooler temperatures won't last all that long, which isn't shocking considering it is mid-May.

 Here's a look at the temperature trend from a variety of computer models over the next week or so.

Temperatures rebound into the mid-upper 80s as the trough providing us cooler temperatures nudges away, allowing a ridge to take its place to end the work week. This ridge will bring mid 90s to the mid-section of the country and keep the storm track well to our north. That said, a few convective showers may be possible next weekend, but they'll be isolated in nature and most will stay dry.

Hurricane Season:
Hurricane season starts in less than 3 weeks and the GFS is trying to develop a storm in the western Caribbean. It's had this feature, varying in intensity, location, and date of formation, for the past couple of days at the end of its model runs. This usually means the model is trying to sniff something out. It's WAY too early to be specific, but it'll be something to keep an eye on as we head towards the beginning of hurricane season.

Here's a look at the 336 hour forecast. It appears somewhat strong in this image, but I'm just using this to illustrate the point that something may start brewing in the Caribbean come the last week of May.

Image courtesy of http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/. A site I recently found and has a lot of different variables for the Tropical Atlantic.