Warmest Day of the Year so far?

Temperatures will continue to creep into the upper 80s, close to 90 over the next couple of days. Our warmest day of the year, so far, is 86° and we should break that temperature this afternoon. If we're not able to beat it today, there will be plenty of other chances over the next 7-10 days.

Today will see a great deal of sunshine to start off the day. Enough low level moisture will be around to produce a field of fair weather cumulus clouds this afternoon as highs climb towards 87°.



The upper-level disturbance I mentioned yesterday is bringing showers and thunderstorms to south-central Texas this morning. Meanwhile, we're still dealing with dry air aloft, which will inhibit any showers this afternoon. However, as that upper-level disturbance gets closer, we'll forecast a stray shower or two. This won't be a widespread event and most will stay dry.


In Monday's blog I mentioned the possibility of Memorial Day weekend being rather warm... Well, things are looking a bit different this morning. Both the Euro and GFS are hinting at a trough in the east coast and even a closed low, remember last week?, in either the Ohio River Valley or Mid-Atlantic states. The NAO, North Atlantic Oscillation, takes a dip in to negative territory within the next few days. When the NAO goes negative, or gets near 0, it usually means a trough forms in the east. We'll see how well this holds up over the next couple of days, but things are pointing to a rather "cool" Memorial Day weekend. Again, take this with a huge grain of salt as we're still 12+ days out.  The other interesting thing to note in the image above is the possible heatwave for parts of the Front Range and western Plains states. A lot can and WILL change, but Memorial Day may not be as warm as once thought.

Until then, enjoy the mid to upper 80s!