Tropical Storm Dorian and Cold Front

TROPICS:
Tropical Storm Dorian continues to churn in the far Atlantic. It's looking pretty healthy this morning with clouds tops colder than -70C, illustrating strong storms near the center. It's got a nice, tight circulation and is fighting off cooler water temperatures, 25-26C, as it continues to intensify.

Early satellite view of Dorian 7-25-13

The overall track of Dorian has it going around the strong Bermuda Ridge. It won't get close to the Lesser Antilles until this weekend. From there, it could go one of two directions. Below is the 6Z GFS:

7-25-13 6Z GFS showing Dorian in the Bahamas

This shows a weaker solution, and very close to what the 0Z Euro showed last night, allowing it to be steered more by the low level winds than upper level winds. The other possible track is it curving up the Southeast coast, shown below from the 0Z GFS. This track would occur if Dorian is a bit stronger.

7-25-13 0Z GFS showing a stronger Dorian

Keep in mind... This is still over 3000 miles from the News 3 viewing area and will take a good 8-10 days for it to get anywhere close to the US. It's too early to pinpoint what Dorian's going to bring us, if anything. The best thing to do is stay up to date with the latest track and check in early next week when we have a better handle on Dorian's evolution and future track.

Our Weather:

Cold front over us with rain in OK & TX

A cold front is sliding through the region as we speak. This front is bringing fall-like temperatures to parts of the Ohio River Valley and Northeast. Some locations in the Great Lakes woke up to the upper 30s and a few spots flirted with record lows.

 

Drier, cooler air trying to make it south

Now, that won't be an issue here, but we could see some spots get down into the upper 60s. Our record low, in case you're wondering, is, officially, 66 set back in 1948. I think the official reporting station stays above that, but others near LaGrange and surrounding areas could flirt with temperatures that cool.

The other good thing about this front is it dries us out! Rain chances are virtually zero to close out the week. Don't get used to it, though. Wetter weather makes another appearance this weekend as the mess of rain in the Plains moseys its way over.