It looks like the clouds enjoyed the Deep South so much that they decided to stay for the afternoon. Here's the current satellite view:
Tonight's Forecast: You'll hear many say, "These overnight lows are all dependent on the cloud cover throughout the night." That is true! I'm forecasting the clouds to hang around another couple hours before finally dissipating some. By about 3 AM, most of our area should be seeing clearing skies meaning temperatures will easily drop into the 50s. Columbus may see the overnight low only drop into the upper 50s, while the traditionally cooler areas will see lows in the middle 50s. Keep in mind our record low temperature for tomorrow is 58 degrees, so it could be close like it was this AM.
Tomorrow: The remnants of Lee, the cause of the cloud cover the past few days, should begin its migration north. This will drag the clouds with it, but we still can't take out ALL the cloud cover. There will be enough low-level moisture to allow for a few clouds tomorrow afternoon, much like we saw this afternoon with the clouds building to the south during the afternoon. With a few peeks of sunshine, we'll manage to make it anywhere from 76 to 79 degrees tomorrow afternoon. I HAVE to say this... If we see more clouds, like today, our highs will STRUGGLE to get to the mid 70s again... Only reason I'm saying this is because I've been burned by it the past two days and my lesson is learned!
Friday: Clouds shouldn't be an issue for Friday's forecast as the upper level low continues to spin over Illinois and Indiana. That means we'll stay in a northwesterly wind flow, keeping us relatively cool compared to the average. The clouds should situate themselves across the borders of Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee, leaving us with pleasant skies and highs in the low to mid 80s (82-85).
Weekend: No major changes in store as the northwesterly flow keeps us pretty dry for the weekend. By Sunday, the ridge to our west will begin building in allowing temperatures to warm into the upper 80s by Monday. Don't be surprised to see a few low 90s in the forecast for next week as the upper air pattern flattens into a zonal flow (west to east flow aloft).
Tropics: Today saw TWO tropical storms develop in the Atlantic Basin.
Maria: Formed with the 11AM EDT advisory and is trucking it to the west at 23 mph. The center of circulation is getting a little exposed as the low level winds are much stronger than upper level winds are weaker. This will be a problem for Maria for the next 48 hours. As it gets closer to the Lesser Antilles, it will shake this shear and possibly strengthen. Until then, Maria will stay a tropical storm for the foreseeable future and impact the northern Lesser Antilles by Saturday.
Nate: JUST formed as of 5PM EDT and is moving to the ESE at 2 mph. The forecast track of Nate leave it in the Bay of Campeche for a while before it starts feeling the weakness in the ridge and migrates north. This trend won't last all that long as the trough causing the weakness lifts out, allowing a ridge to build to its north. If this occurs, we'll see Nate take a westerly track into northern Mexico. That's what I see happening as of now, but there are other scenarios: 1. Nate feels the weakness in the ridge a bit more than forecast and lifts into the northern Gulf of Mexico. 2. Nate meanders in the Gulf and gets some dry air to wrap into the core, thus weakening it (not likely to happen but still). Now, for intensity the forecast will be tricky. It has a TON of warm water to work with, low shear, weak steering currents and it being in an area where it could really go BOOM. Right now it has winds of 45 mph. The forecast intensity takes it up to a hurricane within the next 4 days. I'd have to agree with this though we could see Nate ramp up to a Cat 2 or 3 hurricane before it makes landfall... We'll keep a close on it over the next few days.
I'll leave you with a current look at Nate:
David Reese
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