Thursday, September 15, 2011

Cold Front on our Doorstep and SNOW in Wisconsin!

The cold front is finally here! Current analysis shows the front moving through Birmingham:


We can tell where a front is by the wind shift. The winds in southeast Alabama and much of Georgia are from the southwest, while those across northwest Alabama are from the northwest. That's how we can locate a cold front on surface analysis! The colder temperatures are still across northern Mississippi, but they will get here later tonight. If we see the front slow up just a little, we'll see a broken line of showers move through our area. However, latest model guidance indicates we'll be on the wrong side of the front, the northern side, once it finally taps into some warm and moist air. I'm still leaving in the possibility of a few scattered showers this afternoon, but the confidence in any one spot seeing rain is pretty low. If you do see rain; don't expect much. Current QPF, liquid precipitation, output has us only getting about two tenths of an inch the next few days.

After the front passes to our south, an area of high pressure will build into the northeast. I detailed this in a blog post a few days ago. With the high over the northeast, a CAD, or wedge, will set up where there will be some VERY chilly temperatures for this time of year in the Carolinas and northeast Georgia. There's going to be a big contrast of temperatures between North and South Georgia. Northern Georgia will see a ton of clouds while south Georgia will see a good deal of sunshine. I'll be sure to post a picture of where the CAD sets up and the clouds and station plots to go with it.

From Summer to Winter!
Portions of the upper Mid-West are in the ice box this morning! Look at the current temperatures:
International Falls dropped to 20 and Embarrass dropped to 19! There was also another rare event yesterday in the Mid-West, well for mid-September anyway: SNOW! Here's the local climatology report from Rhinelander, WI:
This is the earliest EVER Rhinelander has seen a trace of snow! Just another hint that winter is right around the corner ;) 
Thank you,

David

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